"Barack Obama and the Democrats hold a commanding position two days before Tuesday's election, with the senator from Illinois leading in states whose electoral votes total nearly 300 and with his party counting on significantly expanded majorities in the House and Senate.
John McCain is running in one of the worst environments ever for a Republican presidential nominee. The senator from Arizona has not been in front in any of the 159 national polls conducted over the past six weeks. His slender hopes for winning the White House now depend on picking up a major Democratic stronghold or fighting off Obama's raids on most of the five states President Bush won four years ago that now lean toward the Democrat. He also must hold onto six other states that Bush won in 2004 but are considered too close to call."
Not so fast, Post. If the past has taught us anything, it's that you can conduct all the polls and interviews you want and still find out you were way off when the results come through.
Race, unfortunately, still plays a factor in this race. Right now, it seems as though it's considered trendy to be an Obama supporter and racist not to be. But how many people are saying they're Obama supporters just to win public approval? Will those people who are driving the poll results toward Obama actually vote for him once they are alone in the voting booth with their ballots?
"Two factors cloud the final weekend projections. The first is how voters ultimately respond to the prospect of the first African American president in U.S. history, a force that could make the contest closer than it appears. The other, which pushes in the opposite direction, is whether Obama can expand the electorate to give him an additional cushion in battleground states."
And that's why this race is still too close to call -- unless you actually can predict the future.
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